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THANKS to slumping markets, investment banks are shedding many of their highly-paid traders. When markets recover, the banks might be tempted to replace them with rather cheaper talent. One alternative has been around for a while but has yet to catch on: autonomous trading agents-computers programmed to act like the human version without such pesky costs as holidays, lunch breaks or bonuses. Program trading has, of course, been done before; some blamed the 1987 stockmarket crash on computers instructed with simple decision-making rules. But robots can be smarter than that.
Dave Cliff, a researcher at Hewlett-Packard Laboratories in Bristol, England, has been creating trading robots for seven years. In computer simulations he lets them evolve "genetically", and so allows them to adapt and fit models of real-world financial markets. His experiments have suggested that a redesign of some markets could lead to greater efficiency. Last year, a research group at IBM showed that Mr Cliff's artificial traders could consistently beat the human variety, in various kinds of market. Nearly all take the shape of an auction. One well-known type is the English auction, familiar to patrons of the salesrooms of Christie's and Sotheby's, where sellers keep mum on their offer price, and buyers increase their bids by stages until only one remains.
At the other extreme is the Dutch auction, familiar to 17th-century tulip-traders in the Netherlands as well as to bidders for American Treasury bonds. Here, buyers remain silent, and a seller reduces his price until it is accepted. Most markets for shares, commodities, foreign exchange and derivatives are a hybrid of these two types: buyers and sellers can announce their bid or offer prices at any time, and deals are constantly being closed, a so-called "continuous double auction".
Mr Cliff's novel idea was to apply his evolutionary computer programs to marketplaces themselves. Why not, he thought, try and see what types of auction would let traders converge most quickly towards an equilibrium price? The results were surprising. In his models, auctions that let buyers and sellers bid at any time like most of today's financial exchanges were less efficient than ones that required relatively more bids from either buyers or sellers. These "evolved auctions" also withstood big market shocks, such as crashes and panics, better than today's real-world versions. Mr Cliff's most recent results, which will be presented in Sydney, Australia, on December 10th, show that the best type of auction for any market depends crucially on even slight differences in the number of buyers and sellers.
Bank of America has been investigating these new auctions, along with robotic traders, for possible use in electronic exchanges. The hope is that today's financial auctions and online marketplaces might work better by becoming more like their English and Dutch forebears. But what to call such multi-ethnic hybrids? Here's introducing the "Cliffhanger".
注(1):本文选自Economist;11/30/2002, p65, 1/2p, 1c;
注(2):本文习题命题模仿2000年真题text 3第1题(1),text 4第3题(2),2004年真题text 4第1题,2001年真题text 1第2题(4),1999年真题text 1第4题(5);
1.The passage is mainly__________.
[A] a review of two kinds of auctions
[B] an introduction of trading robots
[C] a survey of the trading market
[D] about trading alternatives
2.Which of the following is true according to the text?
[A] David’s robot traders have now been used in real-world markets.
[B] Robot traders can evolve like creatures.
[C] There is room for improvement in efficiency in trading markets.
[D] The English auction is the most popular trading form.
3.If you were trading American Treasury bonds, you would most likely take the trading form of ___________.
[A] the English auction
[B] the continuous double auction
[C] the Dutch auction
[D] the evolved auction
4.We can infer from the text that______________.
[A] existing auctions can not withstand market shocks
[B] the Dutch auction is better than the continuous double auction
[C] it’s hard for traders to reach an equilibrium price
[D] the best type of auction takes place when the number of the buyers is equal to that of sellers
5.Toward robot traders, the writer’s attitude can be said to be__________.
[A] biased
[B] objective
[C] pessimistic
[D] optimistic
答案:B C C B D
篇章剖析
本篇文章是一篇说明文,介绍了一种机器人交易员。第一段以银行也需要薪资更低廉的交易员开始引入机器人交易员的话题,说明机器人交易员不同于程序交易,是聪明的交易员。第二段介绍了这种机器人交易员的研发过程和其模拟的一种拍卖形式。第三段介绍了其他拍卖形式。第四段介绍了这种机器人交易员在模拟拍卖中的表现。最后一段对这种机器人交易员的前景及影响作了简单评价。
词汇注释
slump: [slQmp] v. (价格等)暴跌, (买卖)清淡; 衰落; 萧条
shed: [Fed] v. 去除除去(不想要或不需要的东西)
pesky: [5peski] adj. 讨厌的,麻烦的
auction: [5C:kFEn] n. 拍卖
patron: [5peitrEn] n. 顾客;主顾
salesroom: n. 拍卖场
mum: [mQm] adj. 沉默的;无言的;不说话的
derivative: [di5rivEtiv] n. 衍生物
hybrid: [5haibrid] n. 混合物
converge: [kEn5vE:dV] v. 达成一致趋于或达成联合、共同结论或者结果
equilibrium: [7i:kwi5libriEm] n. 平衡
forebear: [5fC:bZE] n. 祖先,祖宗
cliffhang: [`klIfhAN] v. 扣人心弦,悬疑
难句突破
In his models, auctions that let buyers and sellers bid at any time like most of today's financial exchanges were less efficient than ones that required relatively more bids from either buyers or sellers.
主体句式:auctions… were less efficient than ones..
结构分析:这是一个复杂句,句子的主语auctions后面有一个that引导的定语从句对它进行修饰,句子主体结构中包含了一个比较级,在比较的对象ones后面也有一个that引导的定语从句对它进行修饰。
句子译文:在他的模式中,现今大多数金融交易中采用的让买卖双方随时竞价的拍卖方式比起那些需要买卖双方提出更多竞价的模式效率要低下。
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